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Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Varona vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Varona 1 - 1 Arnaldi

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Varona has won 46.81% of points on their second serve, while Arnaldi has won 51.56%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Varona, in recent form, has won 51.19% of their opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 49.31%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.25% and 31.48% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Varona has saved 63.87% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 61.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Varona has won 44.44% of matches played (W/L 12/ 15), with Arnaldi winning 65.71% (W/L 46/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Varona has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 61% (W/L 77/ 50), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 42% (W/L 8/ 11). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 124/ 60), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Varona has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 53.85% of matches (W/L 7/ 6), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Varona winning 1 times and Arnaldi being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Varona winning 2 and Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Varona and Arnaldi was at the Tenerife 2 Challenger, 04-02-2023, Semifinals, Hard with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:31:32.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Varona and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 0 times, with Varona winning 0 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Varona winning 0, and Arnaldi 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Varona has played against opponents with an average rank of 254.56 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 179.6.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Varona has won 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 53% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Varona has converted 48.75% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 37.26% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Nicolas Alvarez Varona

2

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

847

Rank

219

High

23

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

35

Rank

35

High

23

Age

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

1

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L L L L W L L

Form

L W L W L W L W W W

55% (165-135)

Career Total W/L

64% (206-118)

40% (6-9)

YTD W/L

59% (19-13)

$29,685

Career Prize Money

$1,637,595

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Varona VS Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Nicolas Alvarez Varona Matteo Arnaldi
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 2 2
Games Won 20 20
Aces (Total) 6 11
DFs (Total) 6 9
Avg Match Time 1:31:32 1:31:32
1st Serve % 63% (74/118) 55% (79/143)
1st Serve Win% 73% (54/74) 78% (62/79)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (20/44) 39% (25/64)
BPs Won% (Total) 31% (5/16) 40% (4/10)
Return Points W% 39% (56/143) 37% (44/118)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Varona VS Arnaldi H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-4
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
58% ( 38 of 65)
1st Serve %
71% ( 42 of 59)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
34% ( 22 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
56
7-5 6-3
cross
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
54% ( 32 of 59)
1st Serve %
53% ( 41 of 78)
5
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
7
88% ( 28 of 32)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 31 of 41)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 13 of 37)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 19 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 34 of 78)
74
Total Points Won
63

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Nicolas Alvarez Varona Matteo Arnaldi
YTD W/L 40% (6/9) 59% (19/13)
Sets Win/Loss 42% (14/19) 59% (48/34)
Games Win/Loss 49% (152/157) 52% (422/392)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 56% (10/8)
Clay Win/Loss 46% (6/7) 64% (9/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/2) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.27 0.57
Aces Total 41 228
DFs per game 0.32 0.23
DFs Total 49 93
Avg Match Time 1:38:46 2:8:25
Avg Opp Rank 205.87 192.72
1st Serve % 63% (622/983) 57% (1512/2664)
1st Serve W% 64% (401/622) 71% (1077/1512)
2nd Serve W% 47% (169/361) 52% (594/1152)
BPs Won% Total 49% (39/80) 37% (98/263)
Return Pts W% 39% (350/888) 38% (1013/2646)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 80% (4/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 55% (6/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 57% (8/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 40% (4/6) 50% (1/1)
Futures W/L 50% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 43% (6/14) 54% (14/26)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 80% (4/5)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/3) 64% (9/14)
Deciding Set W% 50% (2/4) 43% (6/14)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 78% (18/14)
1st set W, L 14% (7/1) 22% (18/4)
1st set L, W 0% (8/0) 31% (13/4)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Hazem Naow
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
66% ( 33 of 50)
1st Serve %
85% ( 52 of 61)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
70% ( 23 of 33)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
38% ( 19 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 33 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
47
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Weis
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
67% ( 62 of 92)
1st Serve %
57% ( 62 of 108)
1
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
10
68% ( 42 of 62)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
33% ( 10 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 15 of 46)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
71% ( 5 of 7)
43% ( 40 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 53 of 108)
105
Total Points Won
95
L
4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Player
Chun Hsin Tseng
45% ( 30 of 67)
1st Serve %
59% ( 43 of 73)
3
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
3
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
51% ( 19 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 73)
76
Total Points Won
64
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Nino Serdarusic
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
62% ( 8 of 13)
1st Serve %
75% ( 9 of 12)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
75% ( 6 of 8)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
40% ( 2 of 5)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 6 of 12)
14
Total Points Won
11
L
2-1 ret. H2H
Q1
cross
Hugo Grenier
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
68% ( 51 of 75)
1st Serve %
61% ( 45 of 74)
7
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
5
75% ( 38 of 51)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
42% ( 10 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
36% ( 27 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 29 of 74)
77
Total Points Won
72
L
7-6(6) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Marco Trungelliti
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
55% ( 53 of 96)
1st Serve %
69% ( 75 of 108)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 47 of 75)
60% ( 26 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
39% ( 37 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 45 of 108)
104
Total Points Won
100
L
7-5 1-6 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Bu Yunchaokete
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
69% ( 49 of 71)
1st Serve %
62% ( 45 of 73)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 24 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 35 of 73)
82
Total Points Won
62
L
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Player
Stefano Napolitano
60% ( 50 of 84)
1st Serve %
63% ( 52 of 83)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
52% ( 26 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 29 of 52)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
43% ( 36 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 83)
89
Total Points Won
78
W
6-0 2-6 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Player
Raul Brancaccio
61% ( 37 of 61)
1st Serve %
55% ( 31 of 56)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
36% ( 22 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
66
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Player
Carlos Lopez Montagud
70% ( 71 of 102)
1st Serve %
66% ( 56 of 85)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
73% ( 52 of 71)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 44 of 56)
55% ( 17 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 33 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
28% ( 24 of 85)
93
Total Points Won
94
W
6-4 5-7 6-4 H2H

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68% ( 59 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 64 of 123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 46 of 64)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
26% ( 23 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 52 of 123)
116
Total Points Won
94
W
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexandre Muller
55% ( 65 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 87)
11
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 45 of 65)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
43% ( 23 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
14% ( 3 of 21)
43% ( 51 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 48 of 87)
116
Total Points Won
90
W
6-4 6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
63% ( 71 of 112)
1st Serve %
64% ( 64 of 100)
5
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
54% ( 22 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
41% ( 46 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 49 of 100)
115
Total Points Won
97
W
6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53% ( 37 of 70)
1st Serve %
60% ( 51 of 85)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
83
Total Points Won
72
L
6-2 2-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45% ( 25 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 44 of 81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 33 of 44)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 11 of 37)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 81)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
L
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53% ( 57 of 107)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
56% ( 28 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 39 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 89)
100
Total Points Won
96
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 51 of 89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83% ( 43 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 37 of 51)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 23 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
79
L
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Christopher O'Connell
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
71% ( 37 of 52)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
45
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-3 H2H

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